Tuesday, January 31, 2012

如任內爆煲 特首會點做

Below is the longer version of my column today in Apple. Unfortunately, neither version can capture the actions the CE will take in a banking crisis...

For after all, the first thing he will do is arrest anyone who is 不誠實使用電腦...

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喺香港特區歷史,如孫柏文冇記錯,係得兩個人曾話自己係政治家。其中一個就係特首曾蔭權。各位fan屎都應該知上週末,特首喺瑞士世界經濟論壇年會到話「從未對全球經濟前景如此驚恐」,呢句對大家就冇驚喜,因為前瞻唔係97年被譽為「聖誕權」曾特首嘅強行。

如果係,就會好似第二個自稱為政治家嘅人(即係我)咁,06年已經開始發警號話「美樓市將慘過八萬五」,亦會同時將特區嘅財政儲備撥咁啲去白銀,不過後知後覺總好過唔覺。

特首亦話如果歐洲爆煲,最好快爆,最好喺佢卸任前爆,等佢「有機會可以處理,唔好等轉屆時發生,增添麻煩」。咁報導就話有好多人批評佢不自量力、憑香港人之力點擺平海嘯等blah blah blah。相信除咗依家搞BNO平權運動嘅八、九十後外,冇人會naive到信特首話「處理」時,係講緊特區能令希臘還錢,法國成功加稅,歐洲經濟增長快到能減債。佢講緊嘅係特區內會點。

我唔知佢喺Davos聽到啲乜,不過如果被特首罕有地講中,真係爆煲,佢會做啲乜?低級政客就會話,舒解民困、批錢六千、擔保中少企貸款等。政治家一聽就會問:「呢啲擺得平,就唔會係驚到瞓唔著嘅危機啦!」

試諗以下一刻你係特首。希臘宣佈唔還錢,有間歐洲銀行被擠提,該國政府冇財力擔保,所以嗰間銀行爆。市傳匯控係個好大嘅對手所以5號股價開始大幅下滑。香港亦傳倫敦匯控出現電子擠提潮。ok,你點做?

如果睇曾特首話希望佢任內爆,相信佢會再來「政府擔保所有存款」。原因係呢個擔保,一旦喺新特首選舉後、不過就任前發,鬼信你煲太。如果係新特首,我會說不,原因係呢場海嘯中第一個咁做嘅國家係愛爾蘭,08年確實冇事,不過2012年呢?所以最好任內爆,因為都拍拍屁股走,擔保埋孫柏文酒吧條數都冇所謂。

仲有,客買嘅匯控產品係倫敦發嘅,你淨係擔保香港匯豐存款,一旦係倫敦有事咁點呢?最後,擔保、泵錢,全都要個危機係周轉不靈而唔係資不抵債,不過因之前你吓吓都擔保,存戶都唔睇銀行做風險幾大嘅生意,最後係因你之前鼓勵最後爆資不抵債危機又點?都冇所謂,因為我已卸任了。

6 comments:

  1. 點解講特首要抽BNO水,,,對你好失望

    ReplyDelete
  2. 知你有英國護照好威威

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I use to have a BDTC and a BNO...

      Both are invalid lu...

      but if anyone thinks BNO holders will be granted full citizenship... must be a post 80s or 90s... as they can't remember how shameless the british govt can be. ie. naive!

      Haha

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  3. 我覺得8.9十後好慘當時比英國佬出賣時不憧事,,,想抗爭都唔得,又唔識,睇住黎BNO依條數我地BNO仲有一個氣都要爭取都抵,大家一起努力宣揚英國佬D扑街野...多D人關注遲D挾錢打官司都多D人挾

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    Replies
    1. We are getting to the stage where even the HK and Mainland government might respond to your request...

      But the British? oh please.

      But! Lam Kay over at plastichk.blogspot.com do insist you can file with the Human Rights Court of the European Commission. So if you want to sue... Sue there I guess...

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