Thursday, June 28, 2007

重申一注獨贏買白銀

噚日,孫柏文應承過大家,會解釋點樣吸引啲冇錢、冇學位,年輕版李嘉誠、黎智英等 嘅移民,等我挺曾,為特區打造千萬人城市。不過因為前晚白銀大跌,所以我要推遲分享我嘅空前絕後偉大移民政策。今日,我要再走出來,大大聲咁叫:「重申一 注獨贏買白銀!」

首先,如果問大家:「每次出現危機嘅時候,眾中央銀行嘅終極解決方法係乜?」

如果唔識答,我就要用塊「笑聲拍版」大大力拍你個頭。因為答案係 ──印、銀、紙!

俄羅斯出現金融危機?印銀紙啦!
科技股泡沫爆破?印銀紙啦!
911恐怖襲擊危害信心?印銀紙啦!
扭親隻腳?印銀紙!跟住用啲銀紙敷一敷 啦!

中央銀行亂印銀紙、濫發鈔票,就會引發通脹。投資者為求自保,就會買黃金、白銀。所以只要市場預期未來勢色不對,金銀價應該會飆升。今時今日,花旗國 出現次按subprime危機,令市場猜測好多投資銀行中招。

以前,按揭業務係由被聯儲局監管嘅普通商業銀行做,到爆次按危機,相信聯儲局早已經 啓動印刷機去救啲銀行。現在聯儲局好似慢咗嘅原因,係因為按揭業務已經由投資銀行做,而佢哋做嘢秘密過CIA,所以早排聯儲局對問題嘅嚴重性冇乜頭緒。

又到爆升時

不 過現在有Bear Stearns專炒次按嘅基金出事,相信聯儲局已經將印刷機嘅摩打撻着。如果係咁,大家會問:「點解白銀前晚跌咁多?點解跌穿白銀戰隊隊長好鍾意用嘅 200平均線支持位?」

其實,聯儲局為首嘅紙幣狂魔集團,早知道黃金、白銀戰隊,會推高金銀價去反映濫發鈔票嘅現實。所以喺印銀紙之前,一定要嚇儍金銀支 持者,希望令白銀戰隊士氣低落、潰不成軍。

孫柏文記得喺05年7月倫敦恐怖大爆炸嘅時 候,我深深相信紙幣狂魔會濫發鈔票去「挽救信心」。不過,襲擊發生之後銀價冇即時升(見附圖),仲要去到05年8月嘅時候,狠狠跌穿200平均線。淡友盡 洗好倉,屠殺戰隊成員。不過如果大家記得,紙幣狂魔屠殺完啲用孖展炒白銀嘅人之後,就啓動印刷機。銀價就係喺05年8月開始去到06年4月,由7元升至差 唔多15元。前晚淡友又再次盡洗睇好孖展倉,如果你能揸實貨白銀,捱過呢場戰役,相信白銀戰隊隊長孫柏文,白銀快將又屆爆升時!

1)爆炸後,孫柏文預期央行印銀紙救市

2)好似冇料到

3)淡友仲要清好倉

4)原來真係印銀紙,白銀爆上

5)Bear Stearns出事,央行應該又印銀紙

6)淡友又清好倉

7)白銀再爆上?

8 comments:

  1. Dear 孫兄,

    This is albert again,haven't left message here for a long time.I have no doubt about the silver price can go up,so I am still holding silver(BOC one).But I am not happy about AUD,it doesn't follow gold and silver drop.It seems that the corelation between AUD and gold is not strong,carry trade of Yen affect the aud currency seems more.

    Anyway,I will buy more silver to hedge for USD devaluation.Thankyou for your advice.

    Best regards
    Albert

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  2. 孫兄:

    你提及05-06 年間,差唔多所有金屬都狂升,其中銅升150%,多過白銀好多,唔通D人買銅線保值,希望冇撥你冷水。

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  3. can you talk (and show some data) about palladium?

    it had always been my favourite since high school chemistry class.

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  4. To Sun Bin,

    I do not know much about palladium.

    I can't find much data out there about it. If you do find anything good, please do leave a message, I owuld love to read it too!

    To Pineapple travel,

    Different fundamentals drive copper and silver. But I stand by my bullishness on both metals = )

    Shuen

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  5. Hey Albert,

    I agree, the AUD is driven by the carry trade. A very hard currency to read.

    And silver... It really does feel like the moment in 2005, when Silver exploded upwards.

    Anyhow, good to see you again!

    Shuen

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  6. 柏文兄:請問在那及如何才能購買你所提及的金商品.謝謝

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  7. 孫兄:

    為左verify你既理論,我check番911 (Sept 01)以後一年D白銀價格,好似冇乜升降,似乎仲跌左D tim。 911算係近年西方社會最大一件事,都對銀價冇乜特別刺激,SubPrime mortgage 係咪咁大鑊呢,如果真係,會否買匯豐put option 仲直接D


    波蘿游

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  8. Dear Mr. Suen,

    Just wonder why you suggests to hold physical silver instead of paper silver? Since it is more convenient to hold paper silver rather than physical for investment purpose, is there any other reasons for holding physical silver instead of paper except for the risk of bankruptcy of the issuer?
    By the way, there are not many places where we can buy physical silver in Hong Kong, could you suggest any?

    Thanks for your kind attention!

    Regards/Leo

    ReplyDelete