Thursday, August 02, 2007

無能抗大跌的原因

特區股市當中最唔科學,不過股民又覺得最準確嘅前瞻性警報指標,孫柏文相信係每一次見到有鄭少秋飾演嘅電視劇開始出街。呢個「一播就股市唔掂」嘅信念,已經被股民稱為「秋官效應」。

如果追溯歷史,鄭少秋演戲幾十年,其實係去到90年代初先至有「秋官效應」出現。咁奠定「秋官效應」嘅電視劇,就係當年好受歡迎,描述由70年代開始,香港股市風風雨雨嘅《大時代》。後來呢個劇集重複又重複咁播,所以絕對算係我哋嘅集體回憶。

《大 時代》當中,相信最令觀眾難忘嘅一幕,就係鄭少秋飾演嘅「丁蟹」,將自己四個親生仔掟落街。丁蟹要將四個仔掟落街嘅原因,就係因賭期指輸大錢。而丁蟹輸大 錢嘅方法,就係因為佢「一注獨沽拋期指」,不過股市之後大升特升,所以輸清光。(大家作為《金手指》嘅fan屎,係咪好似似曾相識?)

雖然喺《大時代》當中,丁蟹係癲嘅,不過佢絕對唔蠢。當時佢造淡倉,沽期指,係做足功課,知道有龐大利淡嘅外圍因素圍繞住香港股市(係咪又好似似曾相識?)。不過,丁蟹造淡之後,居然出現香港「三大孖沙」韋家誠、郭英中、賀新出手聯合入市,操控市場,夾硬推高恒生指數。

如 果大家未睇過,可能會問:「點解三大孖沙要無端端造市,將指數推高?」故事因由,《大時代》當中有另一個角色叫做「方展博」,而三大孖沙當年就係靠方展博 老竇出手,先可到股市集資,將自己公司上市。不過最後丁蟹害死咗方爸爸,亦同時變成方展博嘅仇人。故事中,方展博向三大孖沙求助,希望佢哋可以入市,而三 大孖沙就抱住報答恩人嘅心態,將指數推高,夾死咗丁蟹呢個大淡友。

故事中,方展博向大孖沙求助嘅一幕,絕對可以相信如果唔係有見面地點環境嘅幫助,三大孖沙係唔會出手。大淡友丁蟹亦會贏大錢。方展博同三大孖沙會面,咁究竟喺邊度,可以令人對特區股市,產生大手入市嘅慾望?

冇錯,就係皇后碼頭!

噚日恒指跌七百幾點,大家知點解啦……

他們聚集在皇后碼頭不是想保衛集體回憶,他們其實是在商談如何大舉入市,奈何全日都被警察滋擾。股市不跌先至奇!

24 comments:

  1. 其實秋官套劇一出, 就應該避下風頭. 況且, 套劇都幾heavy...

    ReplyDelete
  2. 其實秋官套劇一出, 就應該避下風頭. 況且, 套劇都幾heavy...

    ReplyDelete
  3. 我仲記得扮韋家誠個演員郭德信(曾經主持婦女新姿),攝咗兩個乒乓波入口

    ReplyDelete
  4. i read your articles occasionally, I begin to feel that 8 out of 10 of your articles are worthless to read...either nonsense or placing serious wrong bet...seems offensive but sorry to say that...

    ReplyDelete
  5. You don't seem sorry at all.

    So you can shove that comment up your anonymous ass hahahahhaa

    But to be honest, I am glad that there are at least 2 articles out of 10 that is not nonsense nor placing wrong bets.

    Thanks for your kind comments.

    ReplyDelete
  6. 柏文,德國IKB銀行比次按拖死左,好似好大鑊咁喎,你有什麼看法?

    http://pshweb02.881903.com/apps/news/html/finance/20070802/2007080209101731300.htm

    ReplyDelete
  7. 德國IKB銀行...

    fucking interesting that one.

    1. CEO came out and said that they had NO PROBLEM.

    2. 10 days later CEO fired and they announce they have USD150m loss. A lot... but not lethal.

    3. Then... another few days later. The German Govt has to com out and publically say that their loans are fully backed.

    Which means if not, they will die. So I guess Lethal after all.

    I do wonder when it is next for the good folks over at HSBC.

    ReplyDelete
  8. 方展膊係向佢地『借運』呀…淨係靠錢多多都唔夠輸,因為丁蟹最大既本事,就係『運高』!

    ReplyDelete
  9. 有啲專業意見想問下你呢個前石油分析員.

    連陳x林呢啲街佬都話香港應搞石油期貨,你點睇呢?佢係唔係"畀人誤導"呢?

    ReplyDelete
  10. 肥仔…
    我唔係教訓你喎,你回得咁depressed咁既…呵

    我依家睇緊生活台,見到你喎…睇下你講咩先,睇完再上黎講過…嘿嘿…

    ReplyDelete
  11. 方展博老豆方進新畀丁蟹打懵之後,走去疊報紙,歪住個嘴講「畀次機會,老細……」肥仔,唔怪知得你去蘋果做啦。

    ReplyDelete
  12. 陳x林係"畀人誤導"...

    All 石油期貨 must have physical delivery.

    For in the extreme buying and selling situations, you will see people carrying the commodity away.

    Without physical delivery, in extreme situations, you will see HK prices no longer have any attachment to reality. Therefore useless.

    DAB is a very hard plastic party.

    Pro govt is ok. Wrong is ok. Hard Plastic is not.

    ReplyDelete
  13. 大家唔好忽略,除咗秋官,仲有劉松仁呀!一個 丁蟹已經大獲,仲加埋方進新,點會唔係股災!?
    孫蟹!你大鑊啦!!!!!OH!!!!!!
    仲唔快啲去搵韋家誠,賀新同郭英中借運!!!???

    ReplyDelete
  14. 搵陳萬賢(大時代角色)問下專業意見好過啦.
    佢可能教大家"趁地淋",追沽!

    ReplyDelete
  15. 我覺得HSBC的日子未到, 柏文你言之過早.
    好似丁蟹都會威一陣, 方展博都要等好多年先至等到一個翻身機會.
    我唸, 12個月內, 應該有D嘢睇...

    ReplyDelete
  16. 作天東亞業績發報會,李主席都撐你一把.. 唔洗再 depressed....

    ReplyDelete
  17. 最鍾意丁益蟹
    唔單止變態
    仲有性病
    陶大宇的浮跨演繹淋灕盡致

    ReplyDelete
  18. 第一次讀你個 Blog, 係因為你篇 "一注獨沽".

    以前唔知你寫物, 睇完你覆網民的留言, 終於知你係 "Kidult" 果類人, 生活係自己國度內, 你個 d 超幻想真係好好笑.

    繼續努力!

    ReplyDelete
  19. Kidult? umm... disagree...

    I always thought I was an elder stateman. ho ho ho

    ReplyDelete
  20. 你寫左咁耐我最鐘意篇喎
    話雖之前個啲我大部份都冇睇

    ReplyDelete
  21. Gideon..

    Yo dude,

    Need your comments. Keep reading and I need you all to keep kicking my ass if you all think I deserve it.

    Thanks man

    ReplyDelete
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